WELCOME TO THE PEREGRINATING GRAYBEARD

22 October 2018
High Chaparral RV Park
Arizona City, AZ

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P resident Trump confirmed the US will leave an arms control treaty with Russia. He claims that the US must do so because Russia has violated the agreement and have been violating it for many years. Is it just coincidence that he is doing it after what President Putin said at the Valdai International Discussion Club On 18 October.
I will remind you of what I have said. I have said that our nuclear weapons doctrine does not provide for a pre-emptive strike. I would like to ask all of you and those who will later analyse and in one way or another interpret my every word here, to keep in mind that there is no provision for a pre-emptive strike in our nuclear weapons doctrine. Our concept is based on a reciprocal counter strike. There is no need to explain what this is to those who understand, as for those who do not, I would like to say it again:
this means that we are prepared and will use nuclear weapons only when we know for certain that some potential aggressor is attacking Russia, our territory. I am not revealing a secret if I say that we have created a system which is being upgraded all the time as needed – a missile early warning radar system. This system monitors the globe, warning about the launch of any strategic missile at sea and identifying the area from which it was launched. Second, the system tracks the trajectory of a missile flight. Third, it locates a nuclear warhead drop zone.

Only when we know for certain – and this takes a few seconds to understand – that Russia is being attacked we will deliver a counter strike. This would be a reciprocal counter strike.
Why do I say ‘counter’? Because we will counter missiles flying towards us by sending a missile in the direction of an aggressor. Of course, this amounts to a global catastrophe but I would like to repeat that we cannot be the initiators of such a catastrophe because we have no provision for a pre-emptive strike. Yes, it looks like we are sitting on our hands and waiting until someone uses nuclear weapons against us. Well, yes, this is what it is. But then any aggressor should know that retaliation is inevitable and they will be annihilated. And we as the victims of an aggression, we as martyrs would go to paradise while they will simply perish because they won’t even have time to repent their sins. - President Putin
We walked west counterclockwise yesterday afternoon. At the point where we turned back east and headed for home I could see a a haboob about 20 miles away and there were ESE winds pushing it my way. We got hit by it about a quarter of a mile before reaching Desperado but it was not as bad as it looked and the winds pushing it were not that strong. As we hurried through the Park I came upon a gaggle of 'tourists' taking phone pictures of the weird weather in Arizona.

The Weather Underground reporting station claims there was no rain last night. However, I hear it. Very heavy drop that I thought was hail. It did not last long but this morning I could see that the ground was wet and there were puddles in the Park's paved roads. I think we may get some more before the day is done. The weather guessers give it a small chance and only a slightly bigger chance tomorrow.

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